My picks say 'will win' next to them. I'm taking bets, so go ahead and write down what you think in the comments section! Here goes:
Best picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - *will win*
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
Best director
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Stephen Daldry - The Reader
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - *will win*
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant - Milk
(Boyle's a very close second for Slumdog...)
Best actor
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk - *will win*
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
(though that one's a tough one this year - Langella could take it just as easily...)
Best actress
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - The Reader - *will win*
Best supporting actress
Amy Adams - Doubt
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt - *will win*
Taraji P Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
(again, Penelope Cruz was brilliant and this will also be close...)
Best supporting actor
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight - *will win*
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
(Heath Ledger will get it, but it really should go to Robert Downey Jr...)
Best foreign language film
Revanche - Austria
The Class - France
The Baader Meinhof Complex - Germany
Departures - Japan
Waltz With Bashir - Israel - *will win*
Best animated feature film
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E - *will win* (duh!)
Best adapted screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire - *will win*
Best original screenplay
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Wall-E
In Bruges
Frozen River - *will win*
(I have no idea about this category, but 'Frozen River' is the 'odd one out' screenplay among the rest of the nominees - if it got nominated, it could most likely win)
Best original score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Defiance
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire - *will win*
Wall-E
Best original song
Down To Earth - Wall-E
Jai Ho - Slumdog Millionaire - *will win*
O Saya - Slumdog Millionaire
Art direction
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Changeling
The Dark Knight - *will win*
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Cinematography
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Changeling
The Dark Knight - *will win*
Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader
Costume design
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Australia
Milk
The Duchess - *will win*
Revolutionary Road
Best documentary feature
The Betrayal
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire - *will win* (tightrope walkers ROCK)
Trouble The Water
Best documentary short subject
The Conscience of Nhem En
The Final Inch
Smile Pinki
The Witness - From the Balcony of Room 306
(no idea)
Film editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight - *will win*
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Make-up
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight - *will win*
Hellboy II: The Golden Army
(though Benjamin Button could take it...)
Best live action short film
Auf der Strecke (On The Line)
Manon on the Asphalt
New Boy
The Pig
Spielzeugland (Toyland)
(again, no idea)
Best animated short film
La Maison en Petits Cubes
Lavatory - Lovestory
Oktapodi
Presto
This Way Up
(and yet again, no clue)
Sound editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Iron Man
Wanted
Slumdog Millionaire
Wall-E - *will win*
Sound mixing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Wanted
Slumdog Millionaire
Wall-E - *will win*
Visual effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - *will win*
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
(that's a hard one)
Any predictions / bets? Put 'em down in the comments section!
Friday, January 23, 2009
My Oscar Predictions for 2009... Throw in Yours!
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4 comments:
I think Slumdog Millionaire will will best picture, but Benjamin Button will win best director.
Check out oscarguy.com--his predictions are quite accurate plus he has precursor tallies, etc. I am going against some of the conventional wisdom and betting on Rourke for the Wrestler and upset to Robert Downey Jr for Tropic Thunder, Cruz for Best Supporting. The WGA has the best track record on screenplay wins so Milk and Slumdog there. La Maison en Petits Cubes and The Pig in the shorts category. Wall-e for Song and Score. Button for makeup and visuals. Dark Knight for film editing. The rest I am still undecided!
Revised predictions 4 minutes before showtime:
I think Slumdog will win director, editing, score, adapted screenplay, original song, cinematography, and most likely picture - that's at least six or seven awards - though I think Milk might come out and win picture - but it's unlikely
I think Benjamin Button will get visual effects and makeup at the least.
Penelope Cruz for best supporting female (MAYBE Viola Davis - it's hard this year).
Heath for best supporting male.
Sean Penn for actor (though Mickey Rourke should really get it this year).
Kate Winslet for actress (wish it was Meryl Streep).
Waltz With Bashir for foreign, WALL-E for animated and sound editing, Milk for best original screenplay, and Man on Wire for best doc.
Awards start in 4 minutes. Let's go. :)
Quite useful material, thanks so much for the post.
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